| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP14091 |
| DP14091 Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election? | |
| Emily Blanchard; Chad Bown; Davin Chor | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-11-01 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 US congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only partially mitigated by the US agricultural subsidies announced in summer 2018. Republicans also fared worse in counties that had seen recent gains in health insurance coverage, affirming the importance of health care as an election issue. A counterfactual calculation suggests that the trade war (respectively, health care) can account for five (eight) of Republicans' lost House seats. |
| 主题 | International Trade and Regional Economics |
| 关键词 | Trade war Trade policy Retaliatory tariffs Agricultural subsidies Health insurance coverage Voting |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp14091 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542978 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Emily Blanchard,Chad Bown,Davin Chor. DP14091 Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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