G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14132
DP14132 Beveridgean Unemployment Gap
Pascal Michaillat; Emmanuel Saez
发表日期2019-11-18
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要This paper measures the unemployment gap (the difference between actual and efficient unemployment rates) using the Beveridge curve (the negative relationship between unemployment and job vacancies). We express the unemployment gap as a function of current unemployment and vacancy rates, and three sufficient statistics: elasticity of the Beveridge curve, recruiting cost, and nonpecuniary value of unemployment. In the United States, we find that the efficient unemployment rate started around 3% in the 1950s, steadily climbed to almost 6% in the 1980s, fell just below 4% in the early 1990s, and remained at that level until 2019. These variations are caused by changes in the level and elasticity of the Beveridge curve. Hence, the US unemployment gap is almost always positive and highly countercyclical---indicating that the labor market tends to be inefficiently slack, especially in slumps.
主题Labour Economics ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations ; Public Economics
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14132
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543021
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Pascal Michaillat,Emmanuel Saez. DP14132 Beveridgean Unemployment Gap. 2019.
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