| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP14182 |
| DP14182 Ethnic Conflicts and the Informational Dividend of Democracy | |
| Jeremy Laurent-Lucchetti; Dominic Rohner | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-12-09 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Prevailing explanations view democracy as an institutional arrangement that solves a class conflict between a rich elite and the rest of population. We study the logic of democratic transition when ethnic tensions are more salient than the poor/rich divide. We build a simple theory where (i) ethnic groups negotiate over allocating the economic surplus and (ii) both military and political mobilizations rest on the unobserved strength of ethnic identity. By eliciting information on mobilization, free and fair elections restore inter-ethnic bargaining efficiency and prevent conflict outbreak. We show that democratic transition can be rationally chosen by autocrats, even if it involves a risk of losing power, as elections reduce the informational rent of the opposition, allowing the legitimately elected ruler to grab more economic surplus. Our setup generates new predictions on the nature of political regime, government tenure, ethnic favoritism and social unrest for ethnically divided countries - all consistent with novel country-level and ethnic group-level panel evidence on democratization in the post-decolonization period. |
| 主题 | Development Economics ; Economic History ; Macroeconomics and Growth ; Public Economics |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp14182 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543068 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jeremy Laurent-Lucchetti,Dominic Rohner. DP14182 Ethnic Conflicts and the Informational Dividend of Democracy. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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