G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14241
DP14241 Valuing Private Equity Strip by Strip
Arpit Gupta; Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
发表日期2019-12-23
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We propose a new valuation method for private equity investments. First, we construct a cash-flow replicating portfolio for the private investment, applying Machine Learning techniques on cash-flows on various listed equity and fixed income instruments. The second step values the replicating portfolio using a flexible asset pricing model that accurately prices the systematic risk in bonds of different maturities and a broad cross-section of equity factors. The method delivers a measure of the risk-adjusted profit earned on a PE investment and a time series for the expected return on PE fund categories. We apply the method to buyout, venture capital, real estate, and infrastructure funds, among others. Accounting for horizon-dependent risk and exposure to a broad cross-section of equity factors results in negative average risk-adjusted profits. Substantial cross-sectional variation and persistence in performance suggests some funds outperform. We also find declining expected returns on PE funds in the later part of the sample.
主题Financial Economics
关键词Private equity Valuation Temporal pricing of risk Cross-section of returns Buyout Venture capital Real estate Infrastructure Natural resources Affine asset pricing models
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14241
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543127
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Arpit Gupta,Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh. DP14241 Valuing Private Equity Strip by Strip. 2019.
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