| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP14387 |
| DP14387 A Model of Global Beverage Markets | |
| Kym Anderson; Glyn Wittwer | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-02-05 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper describes a new empirical model of the world’s markets for alcoholic beverages and, to illustrate its usefulness, reports results from projections of those markets from 2016-18 to 2025 under various scenarios. It not only revises and updates a model of the world’s wine markets (Wittwer, Berger and Anderson, 2003) but also adds beer and spirits so as to capture the substitutability of those beverages among consumers. The model has some of the features of an economywide computable general equilibrium model, with international trade linking the markets of its 44 countries and seven residual regions. It is used to simulate prospects for these markets by 2025 (business-as-usual), which points to Asia’s rise. Then two alternative scenarios to 2025 are explored: one simulates the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union (EU); the other simulates the effects of the recent imposition of additional 25% tariffs on selected beverages imported by the United States from several EU member countries. Future applications of the model are discussed in the concluding section. |
| 主题 | International Trade and Regional Economics |
| 关键词 | Cge modeling Wine Beer Spirits Changes in beverage preferences International trade in beverages |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp14387 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543281 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kym Anderson,Glyn Wittwer. DP14387 A Model of Global Beverage Markets. 2020. |
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