| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP14487 |
| DP14487 Robots, Tasks, and Trade | |
| Paulo Bastos; Erhan Artuc; Bob Rijkers | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-03-13 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper examines the effects of robotization on trade patterns, wages and welfare. It develops a Ricardian model with two-stage production and trade in intermediate and final goods in which robots can take over some tasks previously performed by humans in a subset of industries. An increase in robot adoption in the North reduces the cost of production and thereby impacts trade in final and intermediate goods with the South. The empirical analysis uses ordinary least squares and instrumental-variable regressions exploiting variation in exposure to robots across countries and sectors. Both reveal that greater robot intensity in own production leads to: (i) a rise in imports sourced from less developed countries in the same industry; and (ii) an even stronger increase in exports to those countries. Counterfactual simulations indicate that Northern robotization raises domestic welfare, but initially depresses wages. However, this adverse effect is likely to be reversed by further reductions in robot prices. Northern robotization may lead to higher wages and welfare in the South. |
| 主题 | International Trade and Regional Economics |
| 关键词 | Automation robots Tasks Jobs Wages Trade Intermediate inputs Global value chains Gains from trade |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp14487 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543386 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Paulo Bastos,Erhan Artuc,Bob Rijkers. DP14487 Robots, Tasks, and Trade. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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