| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP14526 |
| DP14526 Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception | |
| Grant Miller; Aureo de Paula; Christine Valente | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-03-24 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Nearly one-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa say that they want to avoid pregnancy but are not using contraceptives. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first to study this puzzle in a developing country using detailed data on women’s subjective probabilistic beliefs about contraception and contraceptive attributes. Policy counterfactuals based on a structural model suggest that costly interventions such as eliminating supply constraints would only have modest effects on contraceptive use. Alternatively, increasing partners’ approval of methods, aligning partners’ fertility preferences with women’s, and correcting women’s expectations about pregnancy risk absent contraception have the potential to increase use considerably. We provide additional empirical support for this last result through a before/after experiment in which we find that simply (and effectively) informing women about underlying pregnancy risk increases stated intentions to use contraception substantially, in line with our initial estimates. |
| 主题 | Development Economics |
| 关键词 | Contraception Probabilistic beliefs Mozambique |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp14526-0 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543430 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Grant Miller,Aureo de Paula,Christine Valente. DP14526 Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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