G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14636
DP14636 Elusive Safety: The New Geography of Capital Flows and Risk
Laura Alfaro; Ester Faia; Ruth Judson; Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr
发表日期2020-04-17
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Using a unique confidential data set with industry disaggregation of official U.S. claims and liabilities, we find that the growing dollar-denominated securities are also increasingly intermediated by tax havens financial centers (THFC) and by less reg- ulated funds. These securities are risky and respond to tax rates and prudential regulations, suggesting tax avoidance and regulatory arbitrage. Issuers are mostly intangible-intensive multinationals, investors require a high Sharpe ratio, suggesting search for yield. In contrast, safe treasuries are mainly held by the foreign official sector and increased with quantitative easing policies. Facts on privately held securities are rationalized through a model where multinationals with heterogeneous default probabilities endogenously choose to shift profits and are funded by global intermediaries with endogenous monitoring intensity. A fall in the costs of global funds, by increasing firms’ profits, shifts the distribution of entrants toward riskier ones and also reduces intermediaries’ incentives to monitor both the extensive (fraction of monitored firms) and intensive margin, hence raising ex post risk. Firms appear elusively safe.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance ; Macroeconomics and Growth
关键词Tax havens Geography of flows Profit shifting Tax avoidance Risk Safe assets Endogenous entry
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14636-2
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543549
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Laura Alfaro,Ester Faia,Ruth Judson,et al. DP14636 Elusive Safety: The New Geography of Capital Flows and Risk. 2020.
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