| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP14658 |
| DP14658 A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown | |
| Francesco Lippi; Fernando Alvarez; David Argente | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-04-24 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We study the optimal lockdown policy for a planner who controls the fatalities of a pandemic while minimizing the output costs of the lockdown. The policy depends on the fraction of infected and susceptible in the population, prescribing a severe lockdown beginning two weeks after the outbreak, covering 60% of the population after a month, and gradually withdrawing to 20% of the population after 3 months. The intensity of the optimal lockdown depends on the gradient of the fatality rate with respect to the infected, and the availability of antibody testing that yields a welfare gain of 2% of GDP. |
| 主题 | International Macroeconomics and Finance |
| 关键词 | Lockdown Quarantine Epidemic control Dynamic programming |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp14658 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543572 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Francesco Lippi,Fernando Alvarez,David Argente. DP14658 A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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