全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): DP15259 Golfing with Trump. Social capital, decline, inequality, and the rise of populism in the US

G2TT

来源类型	Discussion paper
规范类型	论文
来源ID	DP15259
	DP15259 Golfing with Trump. Social capital, decline, inequality, and the rise of populism in the US
	Andrés Rodríguez-Pose; Neil Lee; Cornelius Lipp
发表日期	2020-09-06
出版年	2020
语种	英语
摘要	In 2000 Robert Putnam forecast that United States (US) democracy was at risk from the twin challenges of declining civic engagement and rising interpersonal inequality. Sixteen years later, his predictions were vindicated by the election of Donald Trump as president of the US. This paper analyses the extent to which the election of Donald Trump was related to levels of social capital and interpersonal inequalities and posits a third alternative: that the rise in vote for Trump in 2016 was the result of long-term economic and population decline in areas with strong social capital. This hypothesis is confirmed by the econometric analysis conducted for counties across the US. Long-term declines in employment and population – rather than in earnings, salaries, or wages – in places with relatively strong social capital propelled Donald Trump to the presidency. By contrast, low social capital and high interpersonal inequality were not connected to a surge in support for Trump. These results are robust to the introduction of control variables and different inequality measures. The analysis also shows that the discontent at the base of the Trump margin is not just a consequence of the 2008 crisis but had been brewing for a long time. Places in the US that remained cohesive but witnessed an enduring decline are no longer bowling alone, they are golfing with Trump.
主题	International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词	Populism Social capital Inequality Economic and demographic decline Donald trump Counties Us
URL	https://cepr.org/publications/dp15259
来源智库	Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/544234
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Andrés Rodríguez-Pose,Neil Lee,Cornelius Lipp. DP15259 Golfing with Trump. Social capital, decline, inequality, and the rise of populism in the US. 2020.