G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP15287
DP15287 The Great Depression as a Saving Glut
Victor Degorce; Eric Monnet
发表日期2020-09-12
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Facing the Great Depression, Keynes blamed the detrimental consequences of precautionary savings on growth (paradox of thrift). Yet, the magnitude, forms and effects of savings accumulation remain unexplored in studies on the international economic crash of the 1930s. Based on new data for 22 countries, we document that the Great Depression was associated with a large international increase in savings institutions’ deposits. Banking crises spurred precautionary savings. Panel estimations show a negative conditional correlation between real GDP and deposits in savings institutions when a banking crisis hit. A back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that the negative effect of precautionary savings on growth was at least as large as the direct effect of the decline in banking activity. The evolution of the saving rate began to reverse as countries left the gold standard.
主题Economic History
关键词Great depression Banking crises Precautionary savings Paradox of thrift Savings banks
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp15287
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/544265
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Victor Degorce,Eric Monnet. DP15287 The Great Depression as a Saving Glut. 2020.
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