| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP15329 |
| DP15329 The Optimal Allocation of Covid-19 Vaccines | |
| Ana Babus; Sanmay Das; SangMok Lee | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-09-30 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Covid-19 vaccine prioritization is key if the initial supply of the vaccine is limited. A consensus is emerging to first prioritize populations facing a high risk of severe illness in high-exposure occupations. The challenge is assigning priorities next among high-risk populations in low-exposure occupations and those that are young and healthy but work in high-exposure occupations. We estimate occupation-based infection risks and use age-based infection fatality rates in a model to assign priorities over populations with different occupations and ages. Among others, we find that 50-year-old food-processing workers and 60-year-old financial advisors are equally prioritized. Our model suggests a vaccine distribution that emphasizes age-based mortality risk more than occupation-based exposure risk. Designating some occupations as essential does not affect the optimal vaccine allocation unless a stay-at-home order is also in effect. Even with vaccines allocated optimally, 7.14% of the employed workforce is still expected to be infected with the virus until the vaccine becomes widely available, provided the vaccine is 50% effective, and assuming a supply of 60mil doses. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics and Growth ; Public Economics |
| 关键词 | Optimal assignment Occupational health |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp15329 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/544310 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ana Babus,Sanmay Das,SangMok Lee. DP15329 The Optimal Allocation of Covid-19 Vaccines. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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