全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): DP15605 The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates

G2TT

来源类型	Discussion paper
规范类型	论文
来源ID	DP15605
	DP15605 The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates
	Francesco Bianchi; Giada Bianchi; Dongho Song
发表日期	2020-12-23
出版年	2020
语种	英语
摘要	We adopt a time series approach to investigate the historical relation between unemployment, life expectancy, and mortality rates. We fit Vector-autoregressions for the overall US population and for groups identified based on gender and race. We use our results to assess the long-run effects of the COVID-19 economic recession on mortality and life expectancy. We estimate the size of the COVID-19-related unemployment shock to be between 2 and 5 times larger than the typical unemployment shock, depending on race and gender, resulting in a significant increase in mortality rates and drop in life expectancy. We also predict that the shock will disproportionately affect African-Americans and women, over a short horizon, while the effects for white men will unfold over longer horizons. These figures translate in more than 0.8 million additional deaths over the next 15 years.
主题	Monetary Economics and Fluctuations ; Public Economics
关键词	Covid-19 Life expectancy Mortality Unemployment rate
URL	https://cepr.org/publications/dp15605-3
来源智库	Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/544616
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Francesco Bianchi,Giada Bianchi,Dongho Song. DP15605 The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates. 2020.