全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): DP15686 Mobilization and the Strategy of Populism Theory and Evidence from the United States

G2TT

来源类型	Discussion paper
规范类型	论文
来源ID	DP15686
	DP15686 Mobilization and the Strategy of Populism Theory and Evidence from the United States
	Gloria Gennaro; Giampaolo Lecce; Massimo Morelli
发表日期	2021-01-20
出版年	2021
语种	英语
摘要	We propose a theory of strategic adoption of populism in electoral campaigns, in which a populist campaign attracts disillusioned voters but demobilizes core partisans. Under these conditions, populism is more tempting for outsider candidates in districts with low political trust or high economic insecurity, and where the race is close. We test the theory on the 2016 presidential election and the 2018 and 2020 House elections. We apply automated text analysis to campaign speeches and websites, and construct a continuous index of populism in campaign documents. We provide supportive evidence in favour of the mobilisation effects of populism, and show that outsider candidates, in competitive races, resort to more populism in response to higher economic insecurity. Drawing connections between theories of electoral mobilization and populism, this paper shows that the interaction of economic and political conditions is key to understand where politicians are more likely to ride on popular discontent.
主题	Public Economics
关键词	Populism Electoral campaign American politics Text analysis
URL	https://cepr.org/publications/dp15686
来源智库	Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/544695
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gloria Gennaro,Giampaolo Lecce,Massimo Morelli. DP15686 Mobilization and the Strategy of Populism Theory and Evidence from the United States. 2021.