G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP15689
DP15689 The Exchange Rate Insulation Puzzle
Giancarlo Corsetti; Keith Kuester; Gernot Müller; Sebastian Schmidt
发表日期2021-01-20
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要The notion that flexible exchange rates insulate a country from foreign shocks is well grounded in theory, from the classics (Meade, 1951; Friedman 1953), to the more recent open economy literature (Obstfeld and Rogoff, 2000). We confront it with new evidence from Europe. Specifically, we study how shocks that originate in the euro area spill over to its neighboring countries. We exploit the variation of the exchange rate regime across time and countries to assess whether the regime alters the spillovers: it does not---flexible exchange rates fail to provide insulation against euro area shocks. This result is robust across a number of specifications and holds up once we control for global financial conditions. We show that the workhorse open-economy model can account for the lack of insulation under a float, assuming that central banks respond to headline consumer price inflation. However, it remains puzzling that policy makers are ready to forego stabilization of economic activity to the extent we found in the data.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
关键词External shock International spillovers exchange rate Insulation monetary policy Dominant currency pricing Effective lower bound
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp15689
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/544698
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Giancarlo Corsetti,Keith Kuester,Gernot Müller,et al. DP15689 The Exchange Rate Insulation Puzzle. 2021.
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