G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP15766
DP15766 What do Interest Rates Reveal about the Stock Market? A Noisy Rational Expectations Model of Stock and Bond Markets
Matthijs Breugem; Adrian Buss; Joel PERESS
发表日期2021-02-05
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We propose a novel theory and provide supporting empirical evidence that lower long-term interest rates (e.g., because of ``quantitative easing'') harm informational and allocative efficiency. We develop a noisy rational expectations equilibrium model with an endogenous interest rate that investors use to update their beliefs about economic fundamentals. The interest rate reveals information about discount rates, allowing investors to extract more information about cashflows from stock prices. The precision of the interest-rate signal and, hence, stock-price informativeness increase in the interest rate. As a result, informational and allocative efficiency rise with bond and money supplies and with policy transparency.
主题Financial Economics
关键词(endogenous) interest rates Informational efficiency Capital allocation efficiency Rational expectations Unconventional monetary policy
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp15766
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/544767
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Matthijs Breugem,Adrian Buss,Joel PERESS. DP15766 What do Interest Rates Reveal about the Stock Market? A Noisy Rational Expectations Model of Stock and Bond Markets. 2021.
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