G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP15935
DP15935 Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward
Kris Mitchener; Christoph Trebesch
发表日期2021-03-17
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要How will sovereign debt markets evolve in the 21st century? We survey how the literature has responded to the eurozone debt crisis, placing “lessons learned” in historical perspective. The crisis featured: (i) the return of debt problems to advanced economies; (ii) a bank-sovereign “doom-loop” and the propagation of sovereign risk to households and firms; (iii) roll-over problems and self-fulfilling crisis dynamics; (iv) severe debt distress without outright sovereign defaults; (v) large-scale “sovereign bailouts” from abroad; and (vi) creditor threats to litigate and hold out in a debt restructuring. Many of these characteristics were already present in historical debt crises and are likely to remain relevant in the future. Looking forward, our survey points to a growing role of sovereign-bank linkages, legal risks, domestic debt and default, and of official creditors, due to new lenders such as China as well as the increasing dominance of central banks in global debt markets. Questions of debt sustainability and default will remain acute in both developing and advanced economies.
主题Economic History ; International Macroeconomics and Finance
关键词Sovereign debt Eurozone debt crisis Bank-sovereign doom loops Bailouts Self-fulfilling crisis dynamics Official creditors
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp15935-0
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/544926
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kris Mitchener,Christoph Trebesch. DP15935 Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward. 2021.
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