G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP16109
DP16109 Have Risk Premia Vanished?
Simon Smith; Henry Allan Timmermann
发表日期2021-05-04
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We apply a new methodology for identifying pervasive and discrete changes (``breaks'') in cross-sectional risk premia and find empirical evidence that these are economically important for understanding returns on US stocks. Size and value risk premia have fallen off to the point where they are insignificantly different from zero at the end of the sample. The market risk premium has also declined systematically over time but remains significant and positive as does the momentum risk premium. We construct a new instability risk factor from cross-sectional differences in individual stocks' exposure to time-varying risk premia and show that this factor earns a premium comparable to that of commonly used risk factors. Using industry- and characteristics-sorted portfolios, we show that some breaks to the return premium process are broad-based, affecting all stocks regardless of industry- or firm characteristics, while others are limited to stocks with specific style characteristics. Moreover, we identify distinct lead-lag patterns in how breaks to the risk premium process impact stocks in different industries and with different style characteristics.
主题Financial Economics
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp16109
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545086
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Simon Smith,Henry Allan Timmermann. DP16109 Have Risk Premia Vanished?. 2021.
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