G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP16306
DP16306 Cross-sectional uncertainty and the business cycle: evidence from 40 years of options data
Ian Dew-Becker; Stefano Giglio
发表日期2021-06-28
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要This paper presents a novel and unique measure of cross-sectional uncertainty constructed from stock options on individual firms. Cross-sectional uncertainty varied little between 1980 and 1995, and subsequently had three distinct peaks – during the tech boom, the financial crisis, and the coronavirus epidemic. Cross-sectional un- certainty has had a mixed relationship with overall economic activity, and aggregate uncertainty is much more powerful for forecasting aggregate growth. The data and moments can be used to calibrate and test structural models of the effects of uncertainty shocks. In international data, we find similar dynamics and a strong common factor in cross-sectional uncertainty.
主题Financial Economics
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp16306
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545271
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ian Dew-Becker,Stefano Giglio. DP16306 Cross-sectional uncertainty and the business cycle: evidence from 40 years of options data. 2021.
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