| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP16414 |
| DP16414 Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity? | |
| Vadim Elenev; Tim Landvoigt; Patrick Shultz; Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-07-31 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Governments around the world have gone on a massive fiscal expansion in response to the Covid crisis, increasing government debt to levels not seen in 75 years. How will this debt be repaid? What role do conventional and unconventional monetary policy play? We investigate debt sustainability in a New Keynesian model with an intermediary sector, realistic fiscal and monetary policy, endogenous convenience yields, and substantial risk premia. When conventional monetary policy is constrained by the ZLB during an economic crisis, increased government spending and lower tax revenue lead to a large rise in government debt and raise the risk of future tax increases. We find that quantitative easing (QE), forward guidance, and an expansion in government discretionary spending all contribute to lowering debt/GDP ratio and reducing this fiscal risk. A transitory QE policy deployed during a crisis stimulates aggregate demand. |
| 主题 | Financial Economics ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
| 关键词 | monetary policy Fiscal policy Public debt Quantitative easing Forward guidance Long-run risk |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp16414 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545376 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vadim Elenev,Tim Landvoigt,Patrick Shultz,et al. DP16414 Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity?. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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