全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): DP16460 Local Shocks and Internal Migration: The Disparate Effects of Robots and Chinese Imports in the US

G2TT

来源类型	Discussion paper
规范类型	论文
来源ID	DP16460
	DP16460 Local Shocks and Internal Migration: The Disparate Effects of Robots and Chinese Imports in the US
	Marius Faber; Andres Sarto; Marco Tabellini
发表日期	2021-08-17
出版年	2021
语种	英语
摘要	Migration has long been considered one of the key mechanisms through which labor markets adjust to economic shocks. In this paper, we analyze the migration response of American workers to two of the most important shocks that hit US manufacturing since the late 1990s - Chinese import competition and the introduction of industrial robots. Exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in exposure across US local labor markets over time, we show that robots caused a sizable reduction in population size, while Chinese imports did not. We rationalize these results in two steps. First, we provide evidence that negative employment spillovers outside manufacturing, caused by robots but not by Chinese imports, are an important mechanism for the different migration responses triggered by the two shocks. Next, we present a model where workers are geographically mobile and compete with either machines or foreign labor in the completion of tasks. The model highlights that two key dimensions along which the shocks differ - the cost savings they provide and the degree of complementarity between directly and indirectly exposed industries - can explain their disparate employment effects outside manufacturing and, in turn, the differential migration response.
主题	International Trade and Regional Economics ; Labour Economics ; Macroeconomics and Growth ; Public Economics
关键词	Migration Employment Technology Trade
URL	https://cepr.org/publications/dp16460
来源智库	Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545418
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Marius Faber,Andres Sarto,Marco Tabellini. DP16460 Local Shocks and Internal Migration: The Disparate Effects of Robots and Chinese Imports in the US. 2021.