G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP16587
DP16587 Democracy Doesn’t Always Happen Over Night: Regime Change in Stages and Economic Growth
Markus Eberhardt; Vanessa Boese
发表日期2021-09-27
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要How substantial are the economic benefits from democratic regime change? We argue that democratisation is not a discrete event but a two-stage process: autocracies first enter into 'episodes' of political liberalization; in the second stage, these episodes either culminate in regime change or not. Failure to account for this chronology and the implicit counterfactual groups risks biased estimates due to selection effects. Adopting a repeated-treatment difference-in-difference implementation, which captures non-parallel trends and selection into treatment, we find that a single event approach substantially underestimates the economic dividends from regime change and, crucially, obscures the permanent growth effect of democratisation.
主题Macroeconomics and Growth ; Political Economy
关键词Democracy Growth Political development Interactive fixed effects Difference-in-difference
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp16587
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545536
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Markus Eberhardt,Vanessa Boese. DP16587 Democracy Doesn’t Always Happen Over Night: Regime Change in Stages and Economic Growth. 2021.
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