G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP16599
DP16599 Testing fractional doses of COVID-19 vaccines
Witold Więcek; Amrita Ahuja; Esha Chaudhuri; Michael Kremer; Alexandre Simoes Gomes Junior; Christopher Snyder; Alex Tabarrok; Brandon Tan
发表日期2021-10-02
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要Due to the enormous economic, health, and social costs of the COVID-19 pandemic, there are high expected social returns to investing in parallel in multiple approaches to accelerating vaccination. We argue there are high expected social returns to investigating the scope for lowering the dosage of some COVID-19 vaccines. While existing evidence is not dispositive, available clinical data on the immunogenicity of lower doses combined with evidence of a high correlation between neutralizing antibody response and vaccine efficacy suggests that half- or even quarter-doses of some vaccines could generate high levels of protection, particularly against severe disease and death, while potentially expanding supply by 450 million to 1.55 billion doses per month, based on supply projections for 2021. An epidemiological model suggests that even if fractional doses are less effective than standard doses, vaccinating more people faster could substantially reduce total infections and deaths. The costs of further testing alternative doses are much lower than the expected public health and economic benefits. However, commercial incentives to generate evidence on fractional dosing are weak, suggesting that testing may not occur without public investment. Governments could support either experimental or observational evaluations of fractional dosing, for either primary or booster shots. Discussions with researchers and government officials in multiple countries where vaccines are scarce suggest strong interest in these approaches.
主题Development Economics ; Public Economics
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp16599
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545547
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Witold Więcek,Amrita Ahuja,Esha Chaudhuri,et al. DP16599 Testing fractional doses of COVID-19 vaccines. 2021.
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