G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP16708
DP16708 Demographic Transitions Across Time and Space
Matthew J. Delventhal; Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde; Nezih Guner
发表日期2021-11-10
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要The demographic transition --the move from a high fertility/high mortality regime into a low fertility/low mortality regime-- is one of the most fundamental transformations that countries undertake. To study demographic transitions across time and space, we compile a data set of birth and death rates for 186 countries spanning more than 250 years. We document that (i) a demographic transition has been completed or is ongoing in nearly every country; (ii) the speed of transition has increased over time; and (iii) having more neighbors that have started the transition is associated with a higher probability of a country beginning its own transition. To account for these observations, we build a quantitative model in which parents choose child quantity and educational quality. Countries differ in geographic location, and improved production and medical technologies diffuse outward from Great Britain. Our framework replicates well the timing and increasing speed of transitions. It also produces a correlation between the speeds of fertility transition and increases in schooling similar to the one in the data.
主题Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
关键词Demographic transition Skill-biased technological change Diffusion
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp16708
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545644
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Matthew J. Delventhal,Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde,Nezih Guner. DP16708 Demographic Transitions Across Time and Space. 2021.
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