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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP16837 |
DP16837 Fear of Hiking? Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk | |
Martin Wolf; Leopold Zessner-Spitzenberg | |
发表日期 | 2021-12-26 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | What are the implications of a monetary tightening in a currency union for sovereign default risk in a union member? We study this question in a quantitative sovereign default model and obtain two results. First, a monetary tightening reduces default risk in the union member when its debt/GDP ratio is below a critical threshold, driven by increased incentives to reduce the level of debt. Second, the monetary tightening increases default risk when debt/GDP is above the critical threshold. We quantify this "Fear of Hiking" zone and study its policy implications by applying our model to the euro area. |
主题 | International Macroeconomics and Finance ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
关键词 | monetary policy Sovereign debt Sovereign default Spreads Currency union Monetary fiscal interaction |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp16837-1 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545762 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Martin Wolf,Leopold Zessner-Spitzenberg. DP16837 Fear of Hiking? Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk. 2021. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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