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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP16984 |
DP16984 The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Production Network Approach | |
Mathieu Couttenier; Nathalie Monnet; Lavinia Piemontese | |
发表日期 | 2022-01-31 |
出版年 | 2022 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | A novel approach is presented for estimating the economic costs of conflict, in which the production network serves a first-order mechanism through which the disruptive effect of localized conflict spreads to firms in peaceful areas. The method is applied to the Maoist insurgency in Eastern India during the period 2000-2009. We document the negative impact of conflict on firms' behavior, which spreads to firms in peaceful areas through input-output connections. We then apply a model of production networks in order to quantify the overall impact of conflict by taking these propagation effects into account. We find that the Maoist insurgency results in an average aggregate output loss of 3.8 billion USD per year. Interestingly, 73% of the loss is explained by network propagation. |
主题 | Development Economics ; International Trade and Regional Economics |
关键词 | Conflict Firms Production network Aggregate output loss |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp16984 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545929 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mathieu Couttenier,Nathalie Monnet,Lavinia Piemontese. DP16984 The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Production Network Approach. 2022. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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