G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP15057
DP15057 Do Analysts Learn from Each Other? Evidence from Analysts’ Location Diversity
Ling Cen; Yuk Ying Chang; Sudipto Dasgupta
发表日期2022-02-12
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要We show that when the locations of analysts covering a firm are geographically more diverse, the individual forecasts of the analysts for that firm are less correlated. More geographical diversity of co-analyst locations leads to more accurate individual analyst forecasts. This suggests that analysts assign weights to co-analysts’ forecasts when making their own forecasts, and the individual forecasts become more accurate due to a diversification effect. Moreover, in line with efficient weighted average forecasting, our results indicate that the weights assigned to peer forecasts vary with measures of the precision of the analyst’s signal and those of the peers. Overall, our evidence suggests observational learning in the analyst setting. Our empirical design avoids typical pitfalls of outcome-on-outcome peer effects (Angrist, 2014) by showing that an analyst’s expected absolute forecast error (proportional to standard deviation) is affected by the covariance of co-analyst’s forecast errors (as captured by their locational diversity).
主题Financial Economics
关键词Information diversity Learning Herding Analyst forecasts
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp15057-0
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545977
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ling Cen,Yuk Ying Chang,Sudipto Dasgupta. DP15057 Do Analysts Learn from Each Other? Evidence from Analysts’ Location Diversity. 2022.
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