| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP16227 |
| DP16227 The Intergenerational Mortality Tradeoff of COVID-19 Lockdown Policies | |
| Lin Ma; Gil Shapira; Damien de Walque; Quy-Toan Do; Jed Friedman; Andrei Levchenko | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-02-17 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In lower-income countries, the economic contractions that accompany lockdowns tocontain the spread of COVID-19 can increase child mortality, counteracting the mortality reductions achieved by the lockdown. To formalize and quantify this effect, we build a macro-susceptible-infected-recovered model that features heterogeneous agents and a country-group-specific relationship between economic downturns and child mortality, and calibrate it to data for 85 countries across all income levels. We find that in low-income countries, a lockdown can potentially lead to 1.76 children’s lives lost due to the economic contraction per COVID-19 fatality averted. The ratio stands at 0.59 and 0.06 in lower-middle and upper-middle income countries, respectively. As a result, in some countries lockdowns actually can produce net increases in mortality. The optimal lockdowns are shorter and milder in poorer countries than in rich ones, and never produce a net mortality increase. |
| 主题 | Development Economics ; Macroeconomics and Growth |
| 关键词 | Covid-19 Child mortality Lockdown Sir-macro |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp16227-1 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545998 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lin Ma,Gil Shapira,Damien de Walque,et al. DP16227 The Intergenerational Mortality Tradeoff of COVID-19 Lockdown Policies. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
