| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP17047 |
| DP17047 Electoral Turnovers | |
| Benjamin Marx; Vincent Pons; Vincent Rollet | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-02-18 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In most national elections, voters face a key choice between continuity and change. Electoral turnovers occur when the incumbent candidate or party fails to win reelection. To understand how turnovers affect national outcomes, we study the universe of presidential and parliamentary elections held since 1945. We document the prevalence of turnovers over time and we estimate their effects on economic performance, trade, human development, conflict, and democracy. Using a close-elections regression discontinuity design (RDD) across countries, we show that turnovers improve country performance. These effects are not driven by differences in the characteristics of challengers, or by the fact that challengers systematically increase the level of government intervention in the economy. Electing new leaders leads to more policy change, it improves governance, and it reduces perceived corruption, consistent with the expectation that recently elected leaders exert more effort due to stronger reputation concerns. |
| 主题 | Political Economy ; Public Economics |
| 关键词 | Elections Turnovers Democracy Institutions |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp17047 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546005 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Benjamin Marx,Vincent Pons,Vincent Rollet. DP17047 Electoral Turnovers. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
