G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP17080
DP17080 Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Risk
Tommaso Monacelli; Roberto Colarieti
发表日期2022-03-02
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要We lay out a heteroskedastic New Keynesian model, consistent with the evidence of pervasive cross-sectional variation in individual income risk in micro data. We obtain three main results. First, heterogeneous marginal propensities to consume (MPCs) result from the sensitivity of precautionary savings to realized earnings being heterogeneous across agents. Second, the response of aggregate output to demand shocks hinges crucially on how individual risk co-varies with the degree of individual income cyclicality across the income distribution. Third, the general equilibrium effects of monetary and fiscal policy can be suitably summarized by a set of observable cross-sectional sufficient statistics. Depending on the sign of those statistics, income heteroskedasticity may: (i) dampen or amplify the response of output to demand shocks; (ii) affect the local determinacy of the equilibrium; (iii) attenuate or exacerbate the forward guidance puzzle. We conjecture an incomplete information framework with Bayesian learning as a plausible microfoundation for individual income heteroskedasticity.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
关键词Heteroskedasticity Precautionary savings Aggregate demand monetary policy
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp17080-1
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546045
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Tommaso Monacelli,Roberto Colarieti. DP17080 Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Risk. 2022.
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