| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP17086 |
| DP17086 Macroeconomic Development, Rural Exodus, and Uneven Industrialization | |
| Tomás Budí-Ors; Josep Pijoan-Mas | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-03-05 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Economic development and industrialization are typically led by a few regions within a country. The initially agrarian regions may catch up and industrialize -as in the U.S. 1880 to 1940- or they may fail to industrialize, experience a population exodus, and help industrialization elsewhere -as in Spain 1940 to 2000. To understand the emergence and consequences of each pattern, we build a simple model of structural change with multiple locations and sectors where both internal migration and internal trade are costly. In the model, internal migrations change the relative demand across sectors and hence act as a force of within-region structural change. We calibrate the model to the development experience of Spain, and find that its large rural exodus and uneven industrialization were originated by a combination of increased economic opportunities in more industrial regions together with a decline in migration costs towards them. More importantly, the rural exodus in Spain completely explains the lack of industrialization in laggard areas. This is because manufactures in those regions were largely dependent on the vanishing local demand and because the most advanced regions managed to lever up their industrial comparative advantage thanks to the massive inflow of cheap labor. The rural exodus also accelerated growth and structural change at the aggregate level thanks to a better allocation of labor across locations. |
| 主题 | Development & Growth ; Economic history |
| 关键词 | Growth Structural change Internal migration Internal trade |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp17086-1 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546051 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tomás Budí-Ors,Josep Pijoan-Mas. DP17086 Macroeconomic Development, Rural Exodus, and Uneven Industrialization. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
