G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14139
DP14139 Labor Market Frictions and Lowest Low Fertility
Nezih Guner; Ezgi Kaya; Virginia Sánchez-Marcos
发表日期2022-03-25
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要The total fertility rate is well below its replacement level of 2.1 children in high- income countries. Why do women choose such low fertility levels? We study how labor market frictions affect the fertility of college-educated women. We focus on two frictions: uncertainty created by dual labor markets (the coexistence of jobs with temporary and open-ended contracts) and inflexibility of work schedules. Using rich administrative data from the Spanish Social Security records, we show that women are less likely to be promoted to permanent jobs than men. Temporary contracts are also associated with a lower probability of first birth. With Time Use data, we also show that women with children are less likely to work in jobs with split-shift schedules, which come with a fixed time cost. We then build a life-cycle model in which married women decide whether to work or not, how many children to have, and when to have them. In the model, women face a trade-off between having children early and waiting and building their careers. We show that reforms that reduce the labor market duality and eliminate split-shift schedules increase the completed fertility of college-educated from 1.52 to 1.88. These reforms enable women to have more children and have them early in their life-cycle. They also increase the labor force participation of women and eliminate the employment gap between mothers and non-mothers.
主题Labour Economics ; Macroeconomics and Growth
关键词Fertility Labor market frictions Temporary contracts Split-shift schedules
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14139-0
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546120
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nezih Guner,Ezgi Kaya,Virginia Sánchez-Marcos. DP14139 Labor Market Frictions and Lowest Low Fertility. 2022.
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