G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP17236
DP17236 Causal Effects of Countercyclical Interest Rates: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard
[unavailable]
发表日期2022-04-20
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要We estimate the causal impact of countercyclical interest rates on macroeconomic outcomes in open economies. To identify countercyclical interest rates, we construct a new database of short- term interest rates, principal exports, and international commodity prices for 40 economies from 1870 to 1913. This era of capital mobility, nominal anchors, specialization and trade integration, exposed economies to multiple exogenous demand-side shocks. Specialization and trade integration subjected economies to a “commodity lottery” in the form of price fluctuations in world markets. Capital mobility and a currency peg exposed them to interest-rate movements originating in the U.K., the largest economy and linchpin of the classical gold standard. We identify (i) positive effects of commodity-export prices on real GDP and the domestic price level and (ii) negative effects of exogenous changes in short-term interest rates on the same variables. We then show that countercyclical interest rates, defined relative to export-price shocks, stabilized both output and the domestic price level. This stabilization was more effective for the price level than for output.
主题Economic History ; International Macroeconomics and Finance ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
关键词Countercyclical interest rates Stabilization Gold standard Commodity lottery
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp17236
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546241
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
[unavailable]. DP17236 Causal Effects of Countercyclical Interest Rates: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard. 2022.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[[unavailable]]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[[unavailable]]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[[unavailable]]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。