G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP17265
DP17265 When do state-dependent local projections work?
Silvia Goncalves; Ana Maria Herrera; Lutz Kilian; Elena Pesavento
发表日期2022-04-28
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要Many empirical studies estimate impulse response functions that depend on the state of the economy. Most of these studies rely on a variant of the local projection (LP) approach to estimate the state-dependent impulse response functions. Despite its widespread application, the asymptotic validity of the LP approach to estimating state-dependent impulse responses has not been established to date. We formally derive this result for a structural state-dependent vector autoregressive process. The model only requires the structural shock of interest to be identified. A sufficient condition for the consistency of the state-dependent LP estimator of the response function is that the first- and second-order conditional moments of the structural shocks are independent of current and future states, given the information available at the time the shock is realized. This rules out models in which the state of the economy is a function of current or future realizations of the outcome variable of interest, as is often the case in applied work. Even when the state is a function of past values of this variable only, consistency may hold only at short horizons.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance
关键词Local projection State-dependent impulse responses Threshold Identification Nonlinear var
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp17265
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546279
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Silvia Goncalves,Ana Maria Herrera,Lutz Kilian,et al. DP17265 When do state-dependent local projections work?. 2022.
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