| 来源类型 | Discussion paper
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| 来源ID | DP17398
|
| DP17398 The Causal Effects of Education on Age at Marriage and Marital Fertility |
| Neil Cummins
|
| 发表日期 | 2022-06-20
|
| 出版年 | 2022
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | The negative association of education and fertility, over time and between countries, is a central stylized fact of social science. Yet we have scant evidence on whether this is, or is not, causal. Using the universe of vital registration index data from England, 1912 to 2007, I first show that it is possible, using unique names, to construct a demographically and socioeconomically representative sample of 1.5 million women. Historical record linkage of women is typically not attempted but is possible here because of the unique characteristics of English civil registration. I then exploit the natural experiment of sharp discontinuities in who was affected by compulsory schooling law changes in 1947 and in 1972, which exogenously and effectively raised the minimum school leaving age. A Regression Discontinuity design, executed on the individual data, identifies the causal effect of education on age at marriage and fertility. Education may have raised age at marriage in 1972. However one extra year of education at 15 or 16 has a zero causal effect on marital fertility. |
| 主题 | Development Economics
; Economic History
; Labour Economics
|
| 关键词 | Fertility
Education
Causal effects
Demography
Economic history
Labor economics
|
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp17398
|
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546465
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Neil Cummins. DP17398 The Causal Effects of Education on Age at Marriage and Marital Fertility. 2022.
|
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