| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP15653 |
| DP15653 Currency Anomalies | |
| Söhnke Bartram; Leslie Djuranovik; Anthony Garratt | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-06-26 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper is the first to study the cross-section of currency excess return predictors. Using real-time data, the results provide evidence that currency excess return predictability is at least in part due to mispricing. First, the risk-adjusted profitability of systematic currency trading strategies decreases significantly after the publication of the underlying academic research, suggesting that market participants learn about mispricing from research publications. Consistent with mispricing, the decline is greater for strategies with larger in-sample profits and lower arbitrage costs. Second, the effect of comprehensive, state-of-the art risk adjustments on trading profits is limited, and signal ranks and alphas decay quickly. Third, in line with biased expectations as opposed to risk as a source of return predictability, analysts’ forecasts are inconsistent with currency predictors, implying that investors trading on them contribute to mispricing. |
| 主题 | Financial Economics ; International Macroeconomics and Finance |
| 关键词 | Predictors Anomalies Mispricing Analysts Market efficiency Real-time Arbitrage costs Ipca Principal components |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp15653-31 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546479 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Söhnke Bartram,Leslie Djuranovik,Anthony Garratt. DP15653 Currency Anomalies. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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