| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP15943 |
| DP15943 Estimating General Equilibrium Spillovers of Large-Scale Shocks | |
| Kilian Huber | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-07-27 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Large-scale shocks directly affect some firms and households and indirectly impact others through general equilibrium spillovers. In this paper, I describe how researchers can directly estimate spillovers using quasi-experimental or experimental variation. I then argue that spillover estimates suffer from distinct sources of mechanical bias that standard empirical tools cannot resolve. These biases are particularly relevant in finance and macroeconomics where multiple spillover channels and nonlinear effects are common. I offer guidance on how to detect and overcome mechanical biases. An application and several examples highlight that the suggested methods are broadly relevant and can inform policy and multiplier calculations. |
| 主题 | International Finance ; International trade |
| 关键词 | General equilibrium effects Spillovers Estimation Macroeconomic shocks Financial shocks |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp15943-0 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546595 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kilian Huber. DP15943 Estimating General Equilibrium Spillovers of Large-Scale Shocks. 2022. |
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