| 来源类型 | VoxEU Column |
| 规范类型 | 评论 |
| Less dynamic growth amid high uncertainty: The Commission's Autumn 2018 Forecast | |
| Marco Buti; Björn Döhring | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-11-08 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | GDP growth has become more uneven globally, and has shifted into a lower gear in Europe. So it is unsurprising that commentators have started warning about a more severe downturn. The Commission's autumn 2018 European Economic Forecast is no exception in highlighting an unusual amount of uncertainty clouding the economic outlook. The predominance of downside risks implies that macroeconomic outcomes could ex post be worse than our central scenario. This column discusses, on the basis of concrete examples, different types of uncertainty surrounding the still benign forecast baseline. Prudence requires economic policy to prepare for the eventuality of worse outturns. |
| 主题 | Europe's nations and regions ; Global economy ; Labour Markets ; Macroeconomic policy |
| 关键词 | European commission Euro area Growth Jobs |
| URL | https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/less-dynamic-growth-amid-high-uncertainty-commissions-autumn-2018-forecast |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/553838 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marco Buti,Björn Döhring. Less dynamic growth amid high uncertainty: The Commission's Autumn 2018 Forecast. 2018. |
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