| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w0277 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 0277 |
| Labor Force Transitions and Unemployment | |
| Kim B. Clark; Lawrence H. Summers | |
| 发表日期 | 1978-08-01 |
| 出版年 | 1978 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper challenges conventional views of unemployment. Its results suggest that failure to examine closely labor force transitions has led to a misleading picture of unemployment and the way the labor market functions in general. There are four main conclusions. First, labor force transitions are the principal determinant of fluctuations in employment and unemployment. We find that the vast majority of those newly employed come not from unemployment but from outside the labor force. Likewise, most spells of employment end with labor force withdrawal rather than unemployment. Second, traditional estimates of the duration of unemployment and the ease of job finding are seriously flawed by failure to take account of the 45 percent of all unemployment spells which end in labor force withdrawal. Third, re-entrant unemployment is to a large extent the result of job-ending followed by a brief spell outside the labor force. Many re-entrants would almost certainly be better classified as job losers and leavers completing long spells of unemployment rather than as entrants starting a new spell of unemployment. Fourth, it appears that many of those counted as out of the labor force are functionally indistinguishable from the unemployed. |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w0277 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/557451 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kim B. Clark,Lawrence H. Summers. Labor Force Transitions and Unemployment. 1978. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w0277.pdf（259KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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