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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w1074
来源IDWorking Paper 1074
World Equilibrium with Oil Price Increases: An Intertemporal Analysis
Nancy Peregrim Marion; Lars E.O. Svensson
发表日期1983-02-01
出版年1983
语种英语
摘要This paper examines the effect of OPEC price increases on the welfare of a group of oil-importing industrial countries. It also studies how taxes or subsidies on oil imports or capital flows could alter the group's welfare. The analysis is conducted using a general-equilibrium model that describes the behavior of two actors, OPEC and the oil-importing bloc called Industria. The analysis is explicitly intertemporal and takes into account endogenous changes in saving, investment and employment.We show that Industria's welfare is affected not only by direct oil terms of trade effect, but also by changes in the world rate of interest(intertemporal terms of trade effects) and, for rigid wages, changes in employment. Thus Industria gains from the intertemporal terms of trade effect if it is a net borrower and the world rate of interest falls. Precise conditions for whether the world rate of interest falls or rises are given.We also show that Industria may gain from subsidizing oil imports rather than taxing them, in particular if wages are rigid, and that it may gain from restricting international capital mobility.
主题International Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w1074
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/558294
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GB/T 7714
Nancy Peregrim Marion,Lars E.O. Svensson. World Equilibrium with Oil Price Increases: An Intertemporal Analysis. 1983.
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