G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w1079
来源IDWorking Paper 1079
Rules, Discretion and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy
Robert J. Barro; David B. Gordon
发表日期1983-02-01
出版年1983
语种英语
摘要In a discretionary regime the monetary authority can print more money and create more inflation than people expect. But, although these inflation surprises can have some benefits, they cannot arise systematically in equilibrium when people understand the policymaker's incentives and form their expectations accordingly. Because the policymaker has the power to create inflation shocks ex post, the equilibrium growth rates of money and prices turn out to be higher than otherwise. Therefore, enforced commitments (rules) for monetary behavior can improve matters. Given the repeated interaction between the policymaker and the private agents, it is possible that reputational forces can substitute for formal rules.Here, we develop an example of a reputational equilibrium where the out-comes turn out to be weighted averages of those from discretion and those from the ideal rule. In particular, the rates of inflation and monetary growth look more like those under discretion when the discount rate is high.
主题Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w1079
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/558299
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GB/T 7714
Robert J. Barro,David B. Gordon. Rules, Discretion and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy. 1983.
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