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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/t0036
来源IDTechnical Working Paper 0036
Conditional Projection by Means of Kalman Filtering
Richard H. Clarida; Diane Coyle
发表日期1984-05-01
出版年1984
语种英语
摘要We establish that the recursive, state-space methods of Kalman filtering and smoothing can be used to implement the Doan, Litterman, and Sims (1983) approach to econometric forecast and policy evaluation. Compared with the methods outlined in Doan, Litterman, and Sims, the Kalman algorithms are more easily programmed and modified to incorporate different linear constraints, avoid cumbersome matrix inversions, and provide estimates of the full variance covariance matrix of the constrained projection errors which can be used directly, under standard normality assumptions, to test statistically the likelihood and internal consistency of the forecast under study.
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/t0036
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/558571
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Richard H. Clarida,Diane Coyle. Conditional Projection by Means of Kalman Filtering. 1984.
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