G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w1580
来源IDWorking Paper 1580
Money Demand Predictability
V. Vance Roley
发表日期1985-03-01
出版年1985
语种英语
摘要The performance of empirical money demand equations over the past decade raises serious questions about money demand predictability. A variety of specifications were presented to explain past episodes of apparent money demand instability, but their success in predicting future money demand is limited in most instances. In particular, the unprecedented decline in the velocity of Ml during 1982 and 1983 was not captured fullyby any of the previously-modified conventional specifications. This paper evaluates a variety of the approaches and specifications proposed inprevious money demand studies to explain the behavior of the narrowly defined money stock from the mid 1970's through 1983. The empirical results cast doubt on the appropriateness of the conventional money demand specification in both the pre- and post- 1974 periods.
主题Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w1580
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/558819
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
V. Vance Roley. Money Demand Predictability. 1985.
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