| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w1997 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 1997 |
| The Ins and Outs of Unemployment: The Ins Win | |
| Michael R. Darby; John C. Haltiwanger; Mark W. Plant | |
| 发表日期 | 1986-08-01 |
| 出版年 | 1986 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper develops a framework for analyzing unemployment in terms of variations in the nt.imber and distribution of people becoming unemployed and in individual probabilities of leaving unemployment. Contrary to the emphasis on exit probabilities in the recent macroeconomics literature, we present empirical evidence in support of the proposition that changes in the size and distribution of the inflow Into unemployment are the primary determinant of the unemployment rate. Instead of falling at the beginning of a recession, the outflow rate rises (with a lag) in response to the increased inflows which drive the recession. In contrast to normal unemployment, cyclical unemployment is concentrated in groups with low normal exit probabilities; so the observed procyclical variation in the average exit probability may largely he explained by predictable distributional effects. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w1997 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/559249 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michael R. Darby,John C. Haltiwanger,Mark W. Plant. The Ins and Outs of Unemployment: The Ins Win. 1986. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w1997.pdf（386KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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