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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w2667
来源IDWorking Paper 2667
A Note on Revenue Forecasting During the Dukakis Administration
Daniel R. Feenberg; Harvey S. Rosen
发表日期1988-07-01
出版年1988
语种英语
摘要Critics of Governor Michael Dukakis have suggested that this year?s $400 million overestimate of tax revenues in Massachusetts casts doubt on his putative managerial skills. In this paper, we carefully examine the entire Dukakis forecasting record. We find that the 1988 experience was "unusual? in the sense that on average, revenue forecasts produced by his administration have been too low rather than too high. In addition, we find that there is no significant difference between the quality of the Dukakis forecasts and those of his predecessors in Massachusetts. Hence, those who seek to discover anything extraordinarily positive or negative about Dukakis? managerial capabilities should shift their attention to skills other than revenue forecasting.
主题Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w2667
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/559926
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GB/T 7714
Daniel R. Feenberg,Harvey S. Rosen. A Note on Revenue Forecasting During the Dukakis Administration. 1988.
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