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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w2667 |
来源ID | Working Paper 2667 |
A Note on Revenue Forecasting During the Dukakis Administration | |
Daniel R. Feenberg; Harvey S. Rosen | |
发表日期 | 1988-07-01 |
出版年 | 1988 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Critics of Governor Michael Dukakis have suggested that this year?s $400 million overestimate of tax revenues in Massachusetts casts doubt on his putative managerial skills. In this paper, we carefully examine the entire Dukakis forecasting record. We find that the 1988 experience was "unusual? in the sense that on average, revenue forecasts produced by his administration have been too low rather than too high. In addition, we find that there is no significant difference between the quality of the Dukakis forecasts and those of his predecessors in Massachusetts. Hence, those who seek to discover anything extraordinarily positive or negative about Dukakis? managerial capabilities should shift their attention to skills other than revenue forecasting. |
主题 | Macroeconomics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w2667 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/559926 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Daniel R. Feenberg,Harvey S. Rosen. A Note on Revenue Forecasting During the Dukakis Administration. 1988. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w2667.pdf(143KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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