| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w2674 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 2674 |
| The Estimation of Prewar GNP: Methodology and New Evidence | |
| Nathan S. Balke; Robert J. Gordon | |
| 发表日期 | 1988-08-01 |
| 出版年 | 1988 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The paper develops new methodology for the estimation of prewar GNP, taps previously unused data sources, and develops new estimates for the periods 1869-08 and 1869-28. Primary among the new data sources are direct measures of output in the transportation, communications, and construction sectors, and estimates of the consumer price index. New measures of real GNP, nominal GNP, and the GNP deflator are developed. The new estimates of real GNP are as volatile on average over the business cycle as the traditional Kuznets-Kendrick aeries but dampen the amplitude of some cycles while raising the amplitude of others. The new estimates of the GNP deflator are distinctly less volatile than the traditional series and in fact no more volatile than in the postwar period. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Econometrics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w2674 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/559933 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nathan S. Balke,Robert J. Gordon. The Estimation of Prewar GNP: Methodology and New Evidence. 1988. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w2674.pdf（734KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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