G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/t0069
来源IDTechnical Working Paper 0069
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One
Charles R. Nelson; Richard Startz
发表日期1988-09-01
出版年1988
语种英语
摘要When the instrumental variable is a poor one, in the sense of being weakly correlated with the variable it proxies, the small sample distribution of the IV estimator is concentrated around a value that is inversely related to the feedback in the system and which is often further from the true value than is the plim of OLS. The sample variance of residuals similarly becomes concentrated around a value which reflects feedback and not the variance of the disturbance. The distribution of the t-ratio reflects both of these effects, stronger feedback producing larger t-ratios. Thus, in situations where OLS is badly biased, a poor instrument will lead to spurious inferences under IV estimation with high probability, and generally perform worse than OLS.
主题Econometrics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/t0069
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/559957
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Charles R. Nelson,Richard Startz. The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One. 1988.
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