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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w2875
来源IDWorking Paper 2875
The Size and Incidence of the Losses from Noise Trading
J. Bradford De Long; Andrei Shleifer; Lawrence H. Summers; Robert J. Waldmann
发表日期1989-03-01
出版年1989
语种英语
摘要Recent empirical research has identified a significant amount of volatility in stock prices that cannot be easily explained by changes in fundamentals; one interpretation is that asset prices respond not only to news but also to irrational "noise trading." We assess the welfare effects and incidence of such noise trading using an overlapping-generations model that gives investors short horizons. We find that the additional risk generated by noise trading can reduce the capital stock and consumption of the economy, and we show that part of that cost may be borne by rational investors. We conclude that the welfare costs of noise trading may be large if the magnitude of noise in aggregate stock prices is as large as suggested by some of the recent empirical literature on the excess volatility of the market.
主题Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w2875
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/560144
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J. Bradford De Long,Andrei Shleifer,Lawrence H. Summers,et al. The Size and Incidence of the Losses from Noise Trading. 1989.
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