G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w2888
来源IDWorking Paper 2888
Real Wages Over The Business Cycle
Robert B. Barsky; Gary Solon
发表日期1989-03-01
出版年1989
语种英语
摘要This paper is an examination of cyclical real wage behavior in the United States since World War II. Like most previous aggregate studies. ours finds little cyclicalitv in aggregate industry real wage data. On the other hand, our analysis of longitudinal microdata from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics reveals substantial procyclicality. We find that this procyclicality is obscured in industry average wage statistics, and to a lesser extent in economywide averages, because those statistics are constructed in a way that gives greater weight to low-wage workers during expansions. The almost complete absence of evidence for countercyclical real wages suggests that movements along labor demand curves have not played a dominant role in cyclical employment fluctuations over the last 40 years. Instead, the procyclicality of real wages indicates that cyclical employment fluctuations have been generated mainly by shifts in labor demand. The sources of these shifts and of the positive slope of the effective labor supply curve, however, remain open to alternative interpretations.
主题Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w2888
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/560157
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GB/T 7714
Robert B. Barsky,Gary Solon. Real Wages Over The Business Cycle. 1989.
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