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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w2890
来源IDWorking Paper 2890
Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market
Charles Engel; Jeffrey A. Frankel; Kenneth A. Froot; Anthony P. Rodrigues
发表日期1989-03-01
出版年1989
语种英语
摘要We apply the method of constrained asset share estimation (CASE) to test the mean-variance efficiency (MVE) of the stock market. This method allows conditional expected returns to vary in unrestricted ways, given investor preferences. We also allow conditional variances to follow an ARCH process. The data estimate reasonably the coefficient of relative risk aversion, though are unable to reject investor risk neutrality. We reject the restrictions implied by MVE, although changing conditional variances improve statistically upon measured market efficiency. We find that unrestricted asset-share and ARCH models help forecast excess returns. Once MVE is imposed, however, this forecasting ability disappears.
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w2890
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/560159
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Charles Engel,Jeffrey A. Frankel,Kenneth A. Froot,et al. Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market. 1989.
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